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Now, some are wondering if the central bank might not cut rates at all in 2024. He expects the central bank to cut rates two to four times this year. Plus, there’s no official indication that the central bank won’t cut rates this year. • If the neutral interest rate, or the rate that maintains full employment and stable inflation, is revised upward closer to 3.5%. The neutral rate should be 2.5%, based on Fed officials’ estimates for the central bank’s key interest rate, inflation and unemployment.
Persons: stoked, Stocks, won’t pare, , Tom Graff, Jerome Powell, Oliver Darcy, , Eddy, Apple’s, Read, Here’s what’s, Chris Isidore Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN —, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Fed, Deutsche Bank economists, ” Apple, Wednesday, Apple Sports, NBA, NHL, MLS, NCAA, NFL, MLB, ESPN, Labor Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics, SAG Locations: New York, America
Apple shares rose 1.2% on Monday ahead of its quarterly results due after Thursday’s close, which will be closely watched after the carnage in tech stocks last week. Other Big Tech stocks also rallied Monday. Alphabet shares rose 1.9%, Meta Platforms added 2%, Microsoft gained 2.3% and Amazon increased 3.9%. McDonald’s shares also rose 1.7% on Monday after the fast-food chain beat top- and bottom-line expectations. Traders largely expect that the Fed won’t hike rates for the rest of the year, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: New York CNN — Stocks, Dow, Jerome Powell, Thursday’s, Eli Lilly, stoking, , Tom Graff Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Federal, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Traders, Treasury Department, Treasury, Apple, Microsoft, Anheuser, Busch, Stellantis, CVS, Kraft Heinz, Pfizer, Starbucks, Investors Locations: New York
A steepening yield curve is when the spread between long- and short-term bond yields widens. Either the long-term yield rises faster than the short-term yield - a bear steepener - or the short-term yield is falling more - a bull steepener. Bear steepenings of the benchmark two-year/10-year U.S. Treasury yield curve, when the curve is inverted, are rare. In some ways, a positive-sloping yield curve is the natural order of things. Graff reckons the bear steepening is almost over and the curve will struggle to get past -20 bps.
Persons: Warren Pies, Dario Perkins, Lombard's Perkins, Bond, Bill Gross, Goldman Sachs, Tom Graff, Graff, Jamie McGeever, Andrew Heavens Organizations: Treasury, 3Fourteen Research, TS Lombard, Federal Reserve, Reuters, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, London reckons
New York CNN —With Nvidia earnings out of the way, the next test for US markets is Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s annual speech at the Jackson Hole economic summit on Friday. “In August of 2022, Powell knew the Fed had several more rate hikes to go. Macy’s sounds the alarm on credit card delinquenciesMacy’s is warning of a spike in customers who are failing to make credit card payments, adding to the evidence of mounting financial stress on consumers, reports my colleague Matt Egan. This situation is hurting Macy’s business, driving down credit card revenue by 36% year over year and contributing to a quarterly loss, he said. Citing worsening consumer leverage metrics, Macy’s is bracing for a further increase in “bad debt” in its credit card portfolio.
Persons: Jerome Powell’s, Powell, , — Powell, , Tom Graff, Matt Egan, ” Adrian Mitchell, Danielle Wiener, Bronner, Qiana Di, Di Bari, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nvidia, Kansas, Fed, Dow Jones, , Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, Wyoming, Maui, United States, Qiana Di Bari, Lahaina, Kahului
Meanwhile, preferred securities can see yields around 7%. The Fed's rate hikes also sweetened yields on money market funds and certificates of deposit . Yet what is the best avenue for someone who is looking to generate the most income on a $10,000 investment — without taking on a lot of risk? The ICE BofA Fixed Rate Preferred Securities index, which tracks the performance of fixed-rate preferred securities, has a yield to maturity of 7.1%. "Right now you can't do better … than just owning short- to intermediate term high-grade fixed income," he said.
Persons: There's, Tom Graff, Mitch Goldberg, Goldberg, laddering, you'll, Ian Weinburg, Weinberg, Tim Ghriskey, Snyder, haven't, Ghriskey, Bonds, he'd, Graff Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Federal, CNBC Pro, Family Wealth, Pension Management, Ingalls, ICE, Securities, Citigroup, XIII, Index, SEC Locations: Baltimore, Melville , N.Y, Woodbury , N.Y, New York, Treasurys, preferreds
Are investors ignoring the Federal Reserve’s warning?
  + stars: | 2023-06-25 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
CNN —Stocks fell last week as several signs pointed to the Federal Reserve continuing to hike rates this year. The Cboe Volatility Index, known as the VIX, is derived from S&P 500 index options prices and measures volatility expectations. Meanwhile, the May Producer Price Index showed that inflation at the wholesale level cooled to below its pre-pandemic average. Tuesday: Case-Shiller home price index and new home sales. Friday: May Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index and University of Michigan June consumer sentiment and inflation expectations final reading.
Persons: CNN — Stocks, Jerome Powell, BoE, Tom Graff, Price, , Graff, it’s, Liz Young, Gina Bolvin, Bitcoin, Charles Schwab Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Bank of England, Nvidia, Microsoft, Bolvin Wealth Management, , Valley Bank, Signature Bank, BlackRock, EDX, Fidelity Digital Assets, Citadel, Index, University of Michigan
New York CNN —Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday cleared the way for larger interest rate hikes at this month’s central bank policy meeting, sending markets into a tailspin. The S&P 500 fell 1.5%, the Dow dropped 575 points, or 1.7%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite ended 1.3% lower. After Powell’s testimony, market expectations for a half-percentage point rate hike spiked. If inflation fails to continue falling, he said, the Fed will keep trying to cool things down by raising rates. Even if Powell was sure that January’s economic data was a fluke, he still wants to maintain the Fed’s credibility.
The Detroit Pistons played the Dallas Mavericks Monday night, and were unable to leave Dallas due to icy conditions. NBA games have rarely been postponed due to weather in recent years compared to the number of games missed due to COVID outbreaks. However, the team — still stuck — was forced to return to their hotel after seven hours at the airport. The game was later postponed, according to ESPN. Over the course of the pandemic, NBA games routinely were postponed or canceled due to COVID outbreaks among players.
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